Middle East/North Africa

Peruvian National Police patrol in Lima, Peru, ahead of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit
Intelligence Guidance: Week of Nov. 23, 2008
November 21, 2008 2225 GMT
The following is an internal Stratfor document produced to provide high-level guidance to our analysts. This document is not a forecast, but rather a series of guidelines for understanding and evaluating events, as well as suggestions on areas for focus. [more]
Fatah al-Islam protest in Lebanon
Lebanon, Syria: Cutting Strands in a Militant Web
November 20, 2008 2316 GMT
Syria has decided to cut ties with Fatah al-Islam, a murky Islamist militant group operating in Lebanon, according to Stratfor sources. [more]
Saudi Crown Prince Sultan bin Abdel-Aziz in June
Saudi Arabia: Implications of the Crown Prince's Health
November 20, 2008 1828 GMT
Saudi Crown Prince Sultan bin Abdul-Aziz reportedly is in rapidly declining health, something with major implications for the kingdom. [more]
Iraqi women protest the proposed U.S.-Iraqi SOFA in the southern Iraqi city of An Najaf on Nov. 1
Iraq, U.S.: The SOFA and What Could Still Go Wrong
November 20, 2008 1758 GMT
There are still several factors that could derail the Status of Forces Agreement between the United States and Iraq. [more]
Geopolitical Diary icon
Geopolitical Diary: Iran's Bond Announcement and High Hopes For Talks
November 20, 2008 0104 GMT
Iran's bond announcement can be read as a sign of Tehran's economic desperation -- or a sign of its optimism about negotiations with Washington. [more]
Pakistani paramilitary soldiers lead supplies for NATO and US-led forces in Afghanistan at the Pakistani border town of Jamrud
Afghanistan: The Search for Safer Supply Routes
November 19, 2008 2324 GMT
An increase in attacks on supply convoys for Western forces in Afghanistan is leading the United States to look for alternate supply routes. (With Stratfor map) [more]
Israeli flag over Hebron
Israel: Iran Policy and U.S. Alignment
November 19, 2008 1236 GMT
Recent statements from Israel’s military intelligence chief hint that at least a slight warming in Israeli-Iranian relations may be possible, against a backdrop of transition in U.S., Israeli and Iranian politics. [more]
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Geopolitical Diary: Military Intelligence Chief Shifts Israel's Iran Policy
November 19, 2008 0258 GMT
A statement from the head of Israeli military intelligence shows a shift in Israeli thinking on the subject of U.S. talks with Iran. [more]
Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshiyar Zebari at signing of U.S.-Iraqi security pact
Middle East: How the Region Views the SOFA
November 18, 2008 2246 GMT
Iraq’s neighbors are going to have to start adjusting to a new reality in which U.S. forces will be departing Iraq in three years. [more]
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Geopolitical Diary: The SOFA and Iranian Options
November 18, 2008 0257 GMT
Public praise from the head of Iran's judiciary for the U.S.-Iraqi Status of Forces Agreement leads to questions about the current state of U.S.-Iranian relations. [more]
Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi on Nov. 6
Libya: Eyeing a Transition of Power
November 17, 2008 2106 GMT
Russia and the West are vying for influence in Libya, but Tripoli is struggling with a potentially destabilizing transfer of power. [more]
An Iranian refinery as seen from an Iraqi border village in March 2008
Iran: The Economy Exposed
November 17, 2008 2020 GMT
A fire at the Tehran Refinery on Nov. 17 underscores the fragility of Iran's economy. [more]
Iranian judiciary chief Ayatollah Mahmoud Hashemi Shahroudi
Iran: An About-Face on the U.S-Iraqi Security Pact
November 17, 2008 1644 GMT
Having repeatedly denounced the U.S.-Iraqi Status of Forces Agreement, Iran has now endorsed it. [more]
U.S. Marines arrive in Kandahar, Afghanistan
End Game Nears: Iraq's Cabinet Backs Troops Plan
November 17, 2008 1248 GMT
Iraq's parliament will this week be asked to back a plan which restricts U.S. authority next year and leads to full troop withdrawal in 2011. Will an Afghanistan deal be next? [more]
Geopolitical Diary icon
Geopolitical Diary: Peace Processes Proceed in Iraq and Afghanistan
November 17, 2008 0257 GMT
Iraq's Cabinet has approved the Status of Forces Agreement with the United States. Next, U.S. Gen. David Petraeus will work on the peace process in Afghanistan. [more]
The National Building Museum in Washington, D.C., site of the upcoming G20 summit
Intelligence Guidance: Week of Nov. 16, 2008
November 14, 2008 2159 GMT
The following is an internal Stratfor document produced to provide high-level guidance to our analysts. This document is not a forecast, but rather a series of guidelines for understanding and evaluating events, as well as suggestions on areas for focus. [more]
The Sajjil ballistic missile
Iran, U.S.: Missile Claims and BMD in Europe
November 12, 2008 2045 GMT
Iran claims to have tested a new ballistic missile that could mark a significant advance in its ability to reach beyond its region. [more]
Russian President Dmitri Medvedev (R) and Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin
Russia, Iran: Learning to Operate With Less
November 12, 2008 1801 GMT
Falling oil prices are causing exporters to adjust to the price plunge and lower their income forecasts for the coming years. [more]
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad addresses the United Nations General Assembly
Iran: Laurels and Darts for Ahmadinejad
November 11, 2008 1401 GMT
An overture to Washington brings controversy in Tehran. Meanwhile, economists take aim at Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, questions his domestic and foreign policy choices. [more]
Lebanese parliamentary majority leader Saad al-Hariri speaks during a press conference
Lebanon: Cozying Up to Russia?
November 10, 2008 2207 GMT
The head of Lebanon's parliamentary majority is looking to start a bidding war between the United States and Russia. [more]
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